📅 Радар - Макро и корреляции
Обновлено: 2026-10-15T13:00:01+00:00 | BTC: 81,042 | DXY: 102 | GOLD: 4,161 | NASDAQ: nan
События недели (high)
| Время | Страна | Событие | Прогноз | Прошлое | Эмпирика BTC |
|---|
| 15.10 09:00 | GB |
GDP MoM |
-0.1 | 0.4 | |
| 15.10 15:30 | US |
Retail Sales MoM |
0.3 | 1.3 | |
| 15.10 15:30 | US |
PPI MoM |
0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 16.10 06:30 | US |
Fed Chair Warsh Speech |
None | None | |
| 19.10 05:00 | CN |
Industrial Production YoY |
None | 5.2 | |
| 19.10 05:00 | CN |
GDP Growth Rate YoY |
4.4 | 4.3 | -0.4% ср. (17) |
| 19.10 05:00 | CN |
Retail Sales YoY |
None | 0.4 | |
| 19.10 15:30 | CA |
Inflation Rate YoY |
None | 3 | +0.6% ср. (12) |
| 20.10 09:00 | GB |
Unemployment Rate |
None | 4.9 | -0.9% ср. (16) |
| 20.10 12:00 | DE |
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index |
None | 34.7 | |
| 20.10 15:30 | US |
Housing Starts |
None | 1.275 | |
| 20.10 15:30 | US |
Building Permits Prel |
None | 1.403 | |
| 21.10 02:50 | JP |
Balance of Trade |
None | -1105.6 | |
| 21.10 09:00 | GB |
Inflation Rate YoY |
None | 3.1 | +0.6% ср. (12) |
Кросс-актив корреляции (BTC)
| Окно | DXY | GOLD | NASDAQ |
|---|
| 30д | DXY -0.39 | GOLD +0.53 | NASDAQ +0.37 |
| 60д | DXY -0.39 | GOLD +0.53 | NASDAQ +0.37 |
| 90д | DXY -0.39 | GOLD +0.53 | NASDAQ +0.37 |
Эмпирика: BTC в день события
| Событие | N | Среднее | Медиана | |Move| | Вверх % | Мин/Макс |
|---|
| GDP | 17 | -0.36% | -0.08% | 1.10% | 41% | -3.78% / 1.57% |
| PCE | 16 | -0.47% | +0.10% | 1.20% | 50% | -3.67% / 1.57% |
| UNEMPLOY | 16 | -0.86% | -0.07% | 1.81% | 44% | -5.29% / 2.77% |
| NFP | 18 | -0.96% | -0.42% | 1.81% | 39% | -5.29% / 2.77% |
| FOMC | 22 | -0.17% | -0.08% | 1.59% | 45% | -3.62% / 7.09% |
| CPI | 12 | +0.60% | +0.88% | 1.61% | 50% | -1.73% / 4.53% |